Nigeria remains in a tight spot as low oil prices force officials to
burn through borrowing reserves to pay salaries.
Nigeria derives 80
percent of its income from oil revenue, but it has seen a 50 percent
decline in oil income. Further, the Nigerian naira has lowered in value
despite efforts from the country’s central bank to support the currency
with billions of U.S. dollars.
Nigeria established a borrowing allowance of 882 billion naira, but
borrowed 473 billion naira to meet overhead and salary payments. The
budget leaves little room for such expenditures as infrastructure
repair, which is crucial on the heels of Islamist uprisings in the
north. Despite the setbacks, Minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala stated that
Nigeria’s economy is still set to grow 4.8 percent in 2015, and food
prices and inflation remain stable. However, Nigeria is devoting excess
funds that could have gone to infrastructure and job creation.
Infrastructure funding slowed down in 2014, forcing construction
companies with government contracts to lay off workers in the thousands.
President-elect Muhammadu Buhari campaigned on a promise of economic
reform and infrastructure development, but the economy he will inherit
on May 29 leaves him with little options. Buhari, a former military
general, pledged to strengthen the economy and protect Nigerian citizens
from the threat of Islamist terrorist organization Boko Haram. However,
Nigeria’s expensive election season, considered the most expensive in
the nation’s history, is another reason why the nation is struggling to
meet its budgetary needs, and no one truly knows how much money went to
the bribing of citizens for votes. Corruption is another factor that has
drained the country’s finances, but Buhari pledged his reform measures
would mitigate waste, fraud and abuse. He also plans to ensure that the
distribution of oil revenue happens in an equitable fashion, as opposed
to an elite few benefiting from the oil riches.
Oil is a key reason why Nigeria has been a successful market in
Africa, but the country needs a more balanced economy that does not rely
on oil as a sole source of revenue. Nigeria is a vital producer within
OPEC, but the energy industry is changing as more non-OPEC countries
contribute to the oil market. North American oil production in
particular provides stiff competition against Nigerian production, and
nations such as Canada have lowered demand for imports. Further, fellow
OPEC member Saudi Arabia flooded the market with excess oil in recent
months, much to the detriment of other OPEC nations that rely on high
prices to remain profitable. Nigeria also faces competition from fellow
emerging markets in Africa, such as Rwanda, a more diversified economy
where infrastructure and foreign investment has increased.
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